Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.576745 0.637645 0.704940 0.785323 0.879394 0.986833 1.120030
2025-10-12 0.489237 0.573719 0.675533 0.809512 0.984688 1.211222 1.535685
2025-10-19 0.430948 0.524571 0.643923 0.811653 1.049064 1.386495 1.930470
2025-10-26 0.382742 0.478170 0.604762 0.791435 1.072080 1.502118 2.268354
2025-11-02 0.344830 0.439524 0.569102 0.767664 1.081369 1.593978 2.593485
2025-11-09 0.316081 0.409750 0.541358 0.749882 1.094228 1.691247 2.961412
2025-11-16 0.292757 0.385056 0.517740 0.734240 1.106283 1.787784 3.366024
2025-11-23 0.273580 0.364478 0.497837 0.721312 1.119735 1.888728 3.826480
2025-11-30 0.263672 0.356500 0.495948 0.737070 1.186431 2.111924 4.716568
2025-12-07 0.250630 0.342698 0.483537 0.733091 1.214867 2.261493 5.503855
2025-12-14 0.238909 0.330010 0.471689 0.728455 1.240843 2.412782 6.415542
2025-12-21 0.224931 0.312889 0.451254 0.706005 1.226487 2.462409 7.009824
2025-12-28 0.221439 0.312337 0.458618 0.736659 1.332898 2.865785 9.539476
2026-01-04 0.216190 0.308657 0.460483 0.757418 1.423128 3.269829 12.862774
2026-01-11 0.208323 0.300153 0.453241 0.759275 1.469714 3.566098 16.305625
2026-01-18 0.198055 0.287061 0.436922 0.740871 1.463160 3.687272 18.870540
2026-01-25 0.188146 0.274042 0.419864 0.719217 1.444775 3.762594 21.363575
2026-02-01 0.179775 0.263192 0.406028 0.703002 1.438055 3.881638 24.858902
2026-02-08 0.172288 0.253475 0.393654 0.688726 1.434295 4.013983 29.276793
2026-02-15 0.165657 0.244910 0.382883 0.676918 1.435513 4.170894 35.175949
2026-02-22 0.162866 0.242804 0.383962 0.691310 1.513960 4.711729 53.572463
2026-03-01 0.157997 0.236833 0.377349 0.687677 1.539120 5.026410 72.693203
2026-03-08 0.153358 0.231054 0.370753 0.683443 1.561921 5.349618 101.370794